Alarming News: Has the world gone mad?

February 20, 2004

Has the world gone mad?

Ok, I'm only going to say this once for Andrew Sullivan, Instapundit and everyone else who has been quoting the poll numbers that show Bush being beaten by either Kerry or Edwards: these are national polls. We do not have national elections. I don't understand how all these much more brilliant than me writers can not mention that when citing the polls. We have state by state elections, therefore these polls are, well, meaningless. I keep waiting for someone to point this out but no one ever does. Good thing I have a blog, eh?

Posted by Karol at February 20, 2004 12:06 PM | TrackBack
Technorati Tags:

Comments

Hmmm, never thought of that.
Good point.

Posted by: scott at February 20, 2004 12:12 PM

True. But the GOP was loving the national polls a few weeks ago when Bush was spanking Dean badly. While your point is correct, your timing is a little suspect.

Good thing we can see spin, eh ?

Posted by: Von Bek at February 20, 2004 12:40 PM

Personally, I'm glad someone is publicizing the flaws in these polls. The last thing we need is to have the Republican electorate all nervous and uncertain. That will just incite more anti-Kerry (or Edwards) ads and drive up voter turnout for President Bush.

If I've said it once, I've said it a thousand times, Bush is a lock, so the RNC should ignore Kerry or Edwards, Republican voters should not kill themselves to vote and George W. should take his annual August vacation in Crawford.

Please.

Posted by: Dawn Summers at February 20, 2004 01:19 PM

But the popular vote winner usually wins the national election. Only if it is really close, that won't happen. In 2000, Gore's share of the popular vote was less than 1% higher than Bush's share. So if one candidate is a few percentage points ahead of the other in the popular vote, that would probably give that candidate an electoral vote victory.

If the jobs picture does not turn around quickly enough, the Iraq situation does not improve, and Bush continues to alienate his base, the Democrat (Kerry or Edwards) will win.

Posted by: Dan at February 20, 2004 02:34 PM

A very true point but somehow in that comment I smell fear! While no poll can secure victory for a cannidate they can certainly indicate trends.

Posted by: MKID at February 20, 2004 04:24 PM

No! No trends. What trends? I see no trends! Do you see trends?
Bush is a lock. Nice Republicans...good Republicans, now go back to sleep.

(C'mon people get on the trolley.)

Posted by: Dawn Summers at February 20, 2004 05:10 PM

Posted by: scott at February 20, 2004 05:22 PM

Ugh. Who cares about the polls now? There's a lot of months between today and the election.

Posted by: Peter at February 20, 2004 06:51 PM

Personally, Bush deserves it. He is sitting on his ass doing nothing in the realm of aggressive politics. Maybe he will - he better. But recently he has not and the result does not lie. The Dems are walking all over him, grabbing all of the attention, having their own race, and Bush is laying low. Well, damn it, get off your ass, Mr. President.

But still, I know he nor Rove is stupid. There must be a tactic. There must be a plan.

Posted by: Scott S at February 20, 2004 11:39 PM

Scott S

You want a plan. Here is Bush's plan and it is brilliant.

Read

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A56111-2004Feb19.html

Posted by: Jake at February 21, 2004 11:22 AM

Give it up like I have, it makes it easier to sleep at night, Bush is toast.

Posted by: worriedBUSHsupporter at February 23, 2004 10:39 AM

excellent point, Karol! these polls are tiresome. blah, blah, blah.

Posted by: Emily at February 24, 2004 04:19 PM

6230 this is a great plae to play texas holdem online. feel free to try out the http://texas-holdem.big.gb.com for big bonuses! texas holdem poker

Posted by: http://texas-holdem.big.gb.com at October 18, 2004 04:36 PM

Posted by: prinivil at October 21, 2004 09:37 PM

Are you looking where to buy soma online ? Here is place where you can order cheapest soma online - just visite our site http://www.buy-soma-here.com .

Posted by: order cheap carisoprodol online at December 1, 2004 10:47 PM