i think you guys keep montana, but we take virginia. stupid ford.

The most disappointing aspect of Santorum's loss-and to be honest, I don't hold out much hope for him either-is who he'll be losing to.

If he were defeated by some liberal heavyweight like Ed Rendell, or a popular congressman like Tim Holden, then it would be somewhat understandable.

But to lose to such a non-entity-an absolute zero in every conceivable way-with nothing speaking in his favor except for his surname...

It's just depressing, and proves that the Northeast is a dead zone for the GOP.

This actually jives, seat by seat, with the 51-49 (sorry but those 2 indies caucus with the Dem) I've been saying the last few weeks. And the GOP loses the House and, most importantly, a major swing in the governor races.

Like Dawn, I think the Dems will win Virginia (not that they care there about Macaca as much as it played on the national stage). I agree Dems will win the house, but I think the Senate will likely be a tie (and Joe Lieberman will die from an exploded ego knowing just how powerful his little dirt bag self has become). I think Dems will overall win the governor races, including Ohio, which is importan for 08' and the 50 state initiative.

Either way, it'll be a huge Democrat day. I can smell the cannon fire and victory on the battlefield (so to speak). Poor ol Bushie will still blindly call it a victory at 10pm until someone slaps him.

Gays, however, like Bush, won't have such a great day. Wisconsin could reject a constitutional amendment banning gay marriage, but I doubt it. I think the amendment could go 8 for 8.

i also made predictions. some of them agree with yours, but the big difference is that I HAVE PICTURES. i think just to be nice, even though harold ford isn't going to beat corker, you should put up a picture of that democratic sex kitten as a political obituary of sorts.

How can a political maven be bad at predictions? The problem, Karol, is that, like me, you care too much about the outcome.

Predictions don't matter. What matters is getting out to vote.

Gerard, if you're right about the northeast being a dead zone for the GOP, and I think you are, I hope the RINO-pushing "pragmatists" will get swept out of state and local party leadership next year. It's time for conservative Republicans in the northeast to strategize and take control.

I think I make good predictions when I am where the election is taking place. I'm pretty outgoing and feel I can take a place's pulse before the election. But living in NY and trying to predict what people in Montana are going to do is very difficult. The only time I can remember being wrong about an election happening where I was living was in Georgia when I thought Herman Cain would force Isakson into a runoff. He came close.

Didn't you also think Coors was going to win?

I think Cain was a bit of wishcasting because of your respect and admiration for the man. I don't remember anyone else thinking he had a chance.

I make no predictions outside of New York - and I don't have any idea what is going to happen in the hot House races in NY. I'm going to try not to watch until the results are final. Based on recent experience, I am setting my alarm for 4am.

Once I got to Colorado and saw the Salazar ads saying that Coors didn't want the death penalty for Osama bin Laden, I knew Coors was not going to win.

And Cain came very close, like within 3 points of holding Isakson to a runoff. Whether or not he would've won the runoff is a different story entirely but many people thought there would be one.

The current InTrade markets (RealClearPolitics links them) agree with you on all but Missouri and Virginia. In other words, they have Dems gaining six seats.

Republicans will pick up seats in the House and Senate. Early news is the Republican turnout is HUGE.

Early turnout on Jake's morning bar tab is huge.

Exit polls! Exit polls! My kingdom for some bloody exit polls ! Ack, since I gave up drinking, my nerves are shot. I can't deal with suspense anymore. I was a wreck Saturday night watching the Shannon Briggs fight seeing if my boy from Brooklyn could come back. Now I'm a wreck wondering what's happening in the elections and nobody is posting exit polls. This is why I read history-I know what happens and that reassures me. As anyone seen exit polls?

So, have the republicans conceded that they got their collective asses kicked (because you know they will)?

No Jay, I think they're being all crazy and actually waiting for election results to come in.

How late is this wake going?

A couple of my election predictions have already been shot down. Perry and Kinky are doing better than I expected.

How 'bout that Lincoln Chafee?