Ahem.

http://www.alarmingnews.com/archives/005315.html#comments

"Yeah and it's a college student in single digits. For what it is worth, I think Bachman can and should be able to hold onto Kennedy's seat (aside, WTF happened to Mark Kennedy, he was supposed to be the best GOP hope to pick up a senate seat). But I think there are a lot of GOP house seats which are in serious danger all across the country. I'm thinking Pelosi gets the gavel (and remember most Americans have no idea who she is) and the Dems get a majority of the governorships. I think the GOP still holds the Senate like 51-49 which puts power in the hands of the leftist Republicans in Maine and leftist darlin' Arlen.

Posted by: Von Bek at October 27, 2006 04:38 PM"

http://www.alarmingnews.com/archives/005325.html#comments

"I think everyone in the universe acknowledges that Bush mangles his words from time to time, why not Kerry ? "Stuck in Iraq." Well that's pretty much where the Bush presidency is right now and why his approval is stuck at 37% and why it's hurting a lot of Republicans, some bad ones like Chaffee and some good ones like Santorum (despite his darlin Arlen). Look, I'd like to say it was Bush's betrayal of American conservatism on immigration and big government that has undermined his presidency but I suspect it is Iraq which is holding Bush down. This isn't coming from Manhattan. This is coming from real America.

And yes things are looking desperate. The House is pretty much a gonner. I think we can already start with the eulogies for Santorum, Dewine, and Lincoln Chafee and I think Burns is pretty much on the ropes....

Posted by: at October 31, 2006 02:01 PM

Whoops, that was me up there. In the future I should have compared 2006 to the offyear elections in 1874 or 1882 or 1890 or something to make sure if it happens again, you know its from the grumpy old troll under the bridge eating the billygoats.

Posted by: Von Bek at October 31, 2006 02:04 PM

Show-off. :)

Blast. My State Assembly candidate lost by .6%, if I read the stream on TV screen correctly (49.5 vs.50.1).

And Karol - do you do tarot, too?

In order for a Republican to win in Maryland, he must win pretty big in the moderate suburbs between DC and Baltimore--particularly Anne Arundel and Baltimore Counties. (Baltimore is an independent city) It's sort of like how a Republican has to carry upstate NY and do reasonably well in the NYC suburbs.

That's why even I've given up hope on the MD races.

Oh, I should clarify: both Steele and Ehrlich were (at last check) trailing in Baltimore County--and the trend was not favorable. That's why I'm not very optimistic.

I'm not happy with what I see in TN or VA, either.

And now Jim Webb is ahead....

A few things. A lot of these newly Dem seats in blue states like NY and PA will not be turning red anytime soon. Whoever the GOP puts up in 2008 has to be able to stop Ohio, Iowa, New Hampshire and Colorado from bleeding any further.

And now Missouri is looking bad....

Got to say Santorum and Ford bowed out with class (and something tells me we'll see both of them again). Hillary's victory speech was weird to say the least.

Talent concedes!

Hmmm, the Senate is still undecided as of 5:30. Virginia - ughh.

Repeat after me, "Speaker Pelosi"

I'm the worst predictor of all time. But at least I scared the hell out of the Democrat readers of your blog for a day or two.

I'm the worst predictor of all time. But at least I scared the hell out of the Democrat readers of your blog for a day or two.

Nah, jake...I believe all the Democrat readers of the blog were all "wow, we must go drinking with this Jake guy, as he definitely can put them away!"

So, just I arrange the field trip? :)

Actually, Jake, I had been a little afraid of the late polls. Your comment snapped me back to a confident reality.

Here's to two years of gridlock and a 2008 campaign dominated by finger pointing!

Hooray gridlock!

Silver linings for Republicans:

• Maybe this is the cluestick that will get the Republican leadership to focus on core Republican values. (Yo, Frist, I'm talking to you!)
• Every Republican running for office in '08 gets to run against Nancy Pelosi. Cha-ching!
• Corrolary to point two: Lots of airtime for Chuck Rangel.
• Corrolary to the corrolary: Alcee Hastings makes the Republicans look clean.

From a "good for the counrty" perspective, the big worry is how this will affect the conduct of the Iraqi Reconstruction. But as a rule, I agree with Alceste: Horray for gridlock! If we can't actually have a Libertarian government, gridlock is the next-best thing.