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April 08, 2007

Questions for the High Priests of the Religion of Manmade Global Warming (By Guest Blogger Mark Smith)

Americans, free market proponents and anyone who values Western Civilization as we know it must begin to seriously focus on the global warming/climate change "debate." The Al Gores of the world need to be confronted with certain basic facts which are barely covered by the mainstream media. Just as a reminder, the Left would have us believe that 1. the Earth is warming; 2. humans are causing this warming, and 3. this warming is dangerous to people and penguins. Because of the supposed "truth" of these statements, the Left would have us toss aside the accomplishments of the industrial age (with all of its related benefits to humans and the environment) in the name of Mother Earth. Good bye cars with their internal combustion engines and hello rickshaws.

Let me throw out a few facts along with a few questions.

First, how does the Left account for the fact that the polar ice caps have been melting for 20,000 years which includes 19,900 years in which cars and internal combustion engine were not around? How exactly did man contribute to the 19,900 years of melting pre-car? See here. Also see maps published at : Jonathan Adams, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory.

Second, how does the Left account for the fact that the polar ice caps on MARS are also melting? Are too many soccer moms driving their SUVs on Mars now OR perhaps are Mars's ice caps melting due to the same solar activity contributing to the melting of Earth's ice caps?

Third, when discussing "record temperatures" and the like, how come few point out that we have only been recording temperatures since approximately 1880? Bear in mind that the Earth is approximately 4.5 BILLION years old so please tell me how a data set of 150 years or so could possibly have any statistical significance to a 4.5 BILLION year old planet? Talk about statistical insignificance!!! See here.

Fourth, as I recall we have only been collecting "carbon dioxide information in the atmosphere" since the 1950s. So, once again, explain how 60 years of data is statistically relevant to a 4.5 BILLION year old planet. NOTE: I understand that the Left will point out that "ice cores" allow them to "estimate" CO2 levels going back thousands of years, but I think there are reasons to show healthy skepticism toward the significance of some of this data for several reasons including a few points below.

Fifth, how does the Left account for the risks associated with scientists' self interest? Let's keep in mind that many, if not most, scientists who focus on global climate issues work for the government or receive government grants. Thus, these scientists need to justify their research budgets to government bureaucrats and politicians. In doing so, does anyone doubt that built-in incentives exist for scientists to engage in "puffery" concerning the value of their research? Wouldn't a scientist stand a greater likelihood of receiving more government grant money if he can convince the money-givers that his research has the potential to "save the world from destruction"? Or do you think he would receive more money for studying something more pedestrian such as the reproductive habits of Polish grasshoppers? Obviously, we must concern ourselves with the possibility of the creation of a "global warming" industry of scientists who suck at the teat of government grants and politically-motivated philanthropic grants from wealthy liberal donors.

Sixth, isn't it easy for anyone to disprove the purported link between any "global warming" and any potential "flooding" of coastal areas such as the island of Manhattan? Think about it folks.... go pour yourself a soda and put several ice cubes in your glass! Make sure you fill the glass with ice floating ABOVE the glass and fill the glass full of soda. Now, watch the ice melt! When the ice melts does the soda "flood over" the glass’s top and onto your table? ABSOLUTELY NOT! Why? Because water EXPANDS when it is frozen and shrinks when it melts. Thus, if the polar ice caps (a/k/a fancy ice cubes) melt, the coastal water levels should FALL and not rise.... no different than the effect of ice melting in your glass of soda.

Seventh, why should we care if the Earth is warming? It is far more difficult for life to live in the cold than in the heat. Don't believe me? Would you stand a better chance of living in the tropics or in Antarctica? Is there more life at the polar ice caps or in the tropics or Africa? Obviously, animals and plants prefer warmth to cold.

Eight, 99 percent of the Earth’s atmosphere consists of nitrogen and oxygen. CO2 consists of a mere .036 of the atmosphere. And the greatest greenhouse gases? Not CO2 but water vapor and methane. Time to crack down on those lethal oceans, rivers and lakes throwing off their global warming water vapor!

There are many more arguments and points to counter the "global warming" train now racing down the tracks to destroy free markets and the engine of human success and happiness. Unfortunately, I think the Left has gotten a head start on common sense with this issue. So, what do we need now? Time to fight back.

In the meantime, I will be traveling to balmy Vermont where the temperatures are currently 31 degrees and I can help shovel 6" of "global warming" off my mother's walkway. I can hear Al Gore and his "small carbon footprint" firing up the private plane now to fly up and help me shovel.

Mark W. Smith is the New York Times bestselling author of several books including the Official Handbook of the Vast Right-Wing Conspiracy. He appears frequently in the national media as a political and legal commentator. His website is www.marksmithcommentary.com.

Posted by Mark Smith at April 8, 2007 11:22 AM | TrackBack
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Comments

Well, this is about as stupid as it gets, I reckon.

First, let's deal with your anecdotal bushwah about Vermont. If a local cold snap puts an end to the idea of global warming, I guess that a local warm spell, like that we've had in California where I live, means that global warming actually is happening. And California is bigger than Vermont, so I guess we win!!!!eleven!! Hooray for science!

Second, not all ice is floating in water. Antarctica is a continent, and when that stuff melts and flows into the oceans, your frankly idiotic analogy flies out the window. The same thing with any ice in the polar regions that rests on land. There's a lot of it. Just think of Greenland. In fact, your little thought experiment is flawed to a degree that would be laughable, save for the fact that you're serious.

Third, a global change of only a few degrees will entirely destabilize worldwide agricultural patterns. Hotter is not always better. Hotter works in the tropics because the ecosystem there has evolved (oops, sorry--the "e" word) to cope with the heat. Note, however, that the tropics are not called "the breadbasket of the world." What happens when the actual breadbasket of the world isn't growing wheat or corn the way it used to? Do we start growing bananas in Iowa?

Fourth, people who are concerned about global warming aren't saying that we have to go back to the sixteenth century. That's a straw man argument. There are other ways to generate energy than burning fossil fuels, and many of them are cleaner. As things stand, they can't yet take over for hydrocarbons, but the fact is that they never will with Luddites like you standing in the way of scientific progress.

Your analysis (and I apply the term in the most charitable sense) fails on so many levels that you wind up looking like a fool.

Posted by: Michael at April 8, 2007 12:38 PM

I heard someone refer to the global warming movement as a novel way to attack capitalism. I think that's pretty accurate.

Posted by: Karol at April 8, 2007 02:44 PM


Mark Smith, that's a powerful essay.
You're gonna get under the skin of the "sky is falling !" crowd.

As far as Al Gore goes, I look at it this way.
If you really believe that "stepping on a sidewalk crack is gonna break your mother's back," you wouldn't dare step on any cracks.

By the same token, if Al Gore truly believes that all of this consumption is "causing global warming," it would be reflected in his own personal behavior---same as the guy who believes stepping on a sidewalk crack REALLY will break his mother's back.

Posted by: BadBoyInASuit at April 8, 2007 03:07 PM

How is that a "powerful" essay, Bad Boy? It seems to me that, to be actually powerful, what Smith wrote would have to be logical and internally consistent. Several of his main points are logical fallacies or are, frankly, bereft of scientific meaning.

An example: his "if a little is good, a lot is better" philosophy. He contrasts Antarctica with the tropics, concluding with, "Obviously, animals and plants prefer warmth to cold." Following his reasoning, Death Valley should be the garden spot of the planet. You got yerself some warmth there, baby! Oddly enough, it's not a garden of Eden. Its warmth falls outside the range of acceptability for most species.

What about the times we've all heard about over the years, when unexpected heat waves cause farmers' entire crops to crisp up and die? Were these hot spells good for the crops, or were they bad? Good, Smith would posit; it's warmth, after all. The farmer would disagree, as would the consumer later in the season when food prices rise.

And what about his foolishness about water vapor? Do you seriously believe that because the environment can accept some sources of water vapor that it can accept all the water vapor that we want to shove into it?

And what about his "who cares whether it gets warmer" cacaraca? Where I live, we depend on the Sierra Nevada snowpack for our water. The melting snow releases water throughout the year for us to use, and it is replenished each winter by more snow. If that snowpack disappears--if yearly snow is replaced by yearly rain--we won't have any water. It will flow downstream and disappear during the winter, leaving us high and dry during the summer. And make no mistake: snowpacks around the world are disappearing. In the case of water in California, warmer would definitely not be better.

I don't know how old you people are. Maybe you don't remember the sixties and seventies. Pollution in the form of littering--actual garbage along the sides of the road and floating down rivers--was a real problem. We could see it. We had to wade through it. Still, though, people dumped their crap everywhere. It took a concerted effort to get people to stop doing something that was visibly despoiling the environment in which they lived. The effects of hydrocarbon pollution are not as evident, so people like you can't believe that there are any effects. The effects of pollution are there, and they're measurable, but they're not always visible to the naked eye.

Do you all not believe that pollution is a problem? Or, if you do, do you seriously believe that economic expediency excuses every conceivable exacerbation of that problem?

Posted by: Michael at April 8, 2007 04:30 PM

There are ways to use capitalism's strengths to confront the problem of global warming. Gregg Easterbrook had a great take on the situation in the September 2006 Atlantic. He suggests using technology and our engineering know-how to solve the problem, much like we've done with acid rain, smog, and CFCs in the last 30 years. Money quote: "Americans love challenges, and preventing artificial climate change is just the sort of technological and economic challenge at which this nation excels...the only reason runaway global warming seems unstoppable is that we have not yet tried to stop it."

Colby Cosh has also written about the topic in the past. He quotes Andrew Revkin in the NY Times, who wrote that plenty of scientists agree "that accumulating carbon dioxide and other heat-trapping smokestack and tailpipe gases probably pose a momentous environmental challenge, but say the appropriate response is more akin to buying fire insurance and installing sprinklers and new wiring in an old, irreplaceable house (the home planet) than to fighting a fire already raging."

Al Gore is an idiot, as are the rest of the scare-mongers who stand to make out like bandits if they get their big-government environmental schemes approved, but that doesn't mean there's not an impending problem due to climate change. If you really believe in capitalism and human ingenuity, it makes a lot of sense to push using them to improve our situation instead of simply pretending there isn't anything wrong and letting the wrong people spend billions in taxpayer money on solutions that won't work.

Posted by: Jason at April 8, 2007 05:15 PM
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