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November 05, 2008

Lessons from an election

I know you're all still hearing gloating from your Obama-loving friends, even those who hated Obama in the primary and knew he was an empty suit but love the bandwagon jumping, and even those who are actually like a friend of a friend and what, dude, you don't know any other Republicans? Why are you writing on my Facebook wall?! Sorry, I digress. I think it's important to write down a few things to remember about the election we've just witnessed while it's all still fresh on our minds.

First, and absolutely foremost, we can not allow anyone like John McCain to ever be our candidate ever again. Republicans win when they act like Republicans, not when they do some 'reaching across the aisle' nonsense. Oh, John McCain was popular with Democrats? How wonderful for him. When Democrats got a choice between voting for a Democrat and voting for their favorite Republican who sometimes acted like a Democrat, they chose the Democrat. Mindblowing, I know. Ford was a mealy mouthed moderate who couldn't secure a win against Jimmy Carter. Reagan won twice by being a conservative. Bush Sr. was a moderate who raised taxes, taxes!, after he promised not to, and that's why he never got a second term. George W. Bush tried to be a compassionate conservative, whatever that meant, but when his very existence made liberals pull their hair out with rage he ran as a conservative and won twice. Even now, his low approval numbers reflect the fact that Republicans don't feel he's acted as a conservative during his tenure. We'd have his back in the opinion polls if it weren't for immigration, spending and generally promoting weakness in Iraq and Afghanistan (because, sidenote, it's nice that we're building schools and roads and electrical grids, but I supported this war to take out terrorists wherever they may hide, and maybe end child prisons and human shredders in the process, not to remake Iraq). Conservatives win, moderates do not. Obama had to run waaaaay to the right (that's another post, likely for Jewcy) to get elected. America is not a liberal country.

Second, the world is not ending. It's also not magically better. Liberals are dumb, let them believe that Obama is going to bring some mythical change and hope to their lives. Good on them, they fall for this kind of thing often, it's more than a little sad. The last time Dawn Summers fell in love with a candidate, (only after he won, of course, she didn't start supporting the Patriots mid-way through last season just because Tom Brady was cute), was Eliot Spitzer. Like the deranged child that she is she repeated "everything changes on Day 1" like a million times in my ear the day he was elected. Before that she supported her heart out for John Edwards, even had a picture of him as her blog's mascot. I mean, yes things have changed because of these men but probably not in the way their fanatical supporters intended. The truth is, very little will change in anyone's lives under a president Obama. If much changes, however, say if he's unable to enact his insane spending promises without raising taxes or he does pull out of Iraq this January and the whole place goes to pot, then he won't be re-elected in four years. That's our beautiful democracy in action.

This leads me to number three: don't be like them. You know what I mean. Liberals acted like animals for the past 8 years and there's this feeling among Republicans that we must make the Obama presidency hellish on a day-to-day basis. Well, first of all, we just don't have the stamina for that kind of thing. Retarded liberals interrupted Bush speeches for eight years. Republicans have jobs and families and responsibilities. That's just not going to be us. These people, who raged against Bush for that long, are sick. They have problems. They have nothing else going on. Your only option will be to also have nothing else going on and dedicate your life to hysterically calling out Obama. You don't want to be that. Instead, we should all root for him to do well. We don't want further collapse of our financial systems, we don't want the Iraq or Afghanistan efforts to go badly, and we don't want to be challenged by Russia or China while we have this empty man in office. We have to hope for things to go well, because we are Americans first, even if that means losing at the ballot boxes. We're better than them, remember that and don't stoop to their level. It's a lot lower than you'd ever want to go. That doesn't mean you can't oppose Obama. Yes we can! And we certainly will. After all, as commenter Brent notes on his MySpace status, we learned over the last eight years that dissent is the highest form of patriotism. Let's be patriotic! VERY patriotic!

Finally, Republicans as a party have a lot of work to do for the next four years. How do we lose Virginia?! That's awful! And we shouldn't let that stand. The RNC needs to make a serious effort in all the states Bush won in '00 and '04 to make sure 2012 is a very different situation from this year. Pennsylvania? FORGET PENNSYLVANIA. It was lalaland for McCain to pour money into that state at the late hour. We have to pick our battles and we must be ready to fight for the west. Colorado and New Mexico should be wins for us. We need to be realistic for the next four years and focus strictly on the states we need to win. Any outside focus is a distraction. We're never winning NJ, so stop it, but we can't be losing Nevada.

The next four years have to be about focus and honing our message. What do we stand for? What do we oppose? After 8 years of Bush's spending and new entitlement programs, are we still the party of smaller government? Do we still believe lower taxes are the best way to help an ailing economy? Do we think it's better to be loved or feared abroad? It's not going to be easy but if we think our way is the right way, then we have to sell it to the American people every day for the next four years and then run a candidate who will sell it just the same. I don't know who that candidate will be, but we need a deep bench and we must cultivate that for the next four years as well.

Don't cry while they cheer and don't take the ball and go home. Work for what you believe in, I will.

Posted by Karol at November 5, 2008 11:03 AM | TrackBack
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Comments

Good stuff, Karol. Despite the GOP's and McCain's faults we should realize how long McCain stayed in contention. He was running neck-and-neck with Obama until the financial crisis. It shows external events are powerful.

Posted by: Sean Hackbarth at November 5, 2008 12:52 PM

I agree with your republican points.

mccain lost for 2 big reasons...bush and lack of articulation.

the 2012 nominee needs to have fresh ideas and be able to articulate those ideas.

hmmm...fresh ideas and articulation?...who could that be?

Posted by: Larry at November 5, 2008 12:54 PM

Absolutely. We chose the worst candidate possible and he still made it a race. That's something.

Posted by: Karol at November 5, 2008 12:54 PM

We chose the worst candidate possible and he still made it a race.
The same could be said for the Democrats.

I agree with your above post and was actually thinking along the same lines earlier today.

Posted by: Marco at November 5, 2008 01:19 PM

This was very cathartic. Its going to be a rough few days in the process of accepting this result. But the "durable wisdom of our constitution" will continue to endure...

Posted by: J. Mark English at November 5, 2008 01:33 PM

I nominate you for 2012. Start planning.

Posted by: Tanya at November 5, 2008 01:34 PM

McCain should have reached out to the young people as well. Or Palin should've been the presidential nominee. In any case, I am still bitter but hope that our newly elect president does the right thing for America. And I hope that change is not all we have left at the end of his term.

Posted by: Georgia at November 5, 2008 01:46 PM

I nominate you for 2012. Start planning.

I wasn't born in this awesome country, unfortunately. Also, I would never want to run for elected office. It's insanely hard for very little reward. I think that's partly why we have the kind of candidates we have.

Posted by: Karol at November 5, 2008 01:49 PM

Well said, Karol. And frankly we must face the statistical unlikelihood of having a two-term Republican succeeded by another Republican administration. ULIM, that's only happened once for each party in the last 100+ years (FDR/Truman, Reagan/Bush).

Every now and then an operational pause is required for a new generation of voters to be reminded (painfully) of why a Democrat in the White House is a mistake (i.e., Obama voters who never 'knew' Carter).

An African-American in the White House will be a very cathartic experience for many, and I genuinely hope it results in a return to sane dialogue for a race-obsessed generation of Americans. Voting for someone based on the color of their skin is inherently dangerous & stupid.

And there are real dangers in the world. The North Koreans, Syrians, Iranians and ChiComs all understand very clearly that we've elected a pacifist for our president. This will be a factor in every aspect of their future interaction, not only with the U.S., but with those nations we have historically defended (Israel, South Korea, Taiwan, the EU, etc.).

Negotiating from a position of weakness has always been the surest path to war.

Posted by: Snoop-Diggity-DANG-Dawg at November 5, 2008 01:51 PM

"I wasn't born in this awesome country, unfortunately."

Doesn't seem to have been a problem for Obama.

Posted by: Joe Weisenthal at November 5, 2008 02:09 PM

wheeeeeeeerrrrrrrrrrrrrrrrreeeeeeeeeeeeee??????????????

Posted by: nds at November 5, 2008 02:29 PM

"I wasn't born in this awesome country, unfortunately."
Doesn't seem to have been a problem for Obama.


Did Hawaii temporarily leave the Union during the 60s?

Posted by: Marco at November 5, 2008 02:33 PM

I wasn't born in this awesome country, unfortunately.

I know, but we'll cross that bridge when we get to it. Trifles.

Posted by: Tanya at November 5, 2008 02:39 PM

You're dead on!

Posted by: Julien at November 5, 2008 02:44 PM

First - you're right. Find a conservative and back him. Better yet, find a candidate who supports small government, lower taxes and fiscal conservatism. I'll vote for him. Or her. Don't care. That's the beauty of being an independent, I can be as socially liberal as I want and still vote my wallet if I choose.

Second - The only reason I think the world is better is that so many people care about the process now. A lot of us (people that read your blog and talk about politics) already cared. But on both sides there are hundreds of thousands of energized people that took part in the campaigns and now have faith in the process. That's a difference.

Third - you're right. Now once you pick yourself up off the floor, let me go for a "we learned it by watching you, dad!" moment. The last eight years of abysmal behavior from liberals follows eight years of abysmal behavior from conservatives during the Clinton administration. I propose we ban all talk radio in the US for the next two presidential administrations and maybe the folks who have no job other than to elevate the collective blood pressure will have to go to work in a factory somewhere and do something worthwhile for a change.

Finally - the Republicans (or conservatives) need to focus more on who they are (and aren't) than on where the votes were lost. This election wasn't won or lost by one person (unless his initials are GWB and he has an address on Pennsylvania Avenue). The elections all over the US were won or lost based on lack of vision and a changing US demographic. The Republicans can no longer just be the party of rich old white dudes if they want to be viable going forward. They have to figure out that the hot-button issues of guns, abortion and lying about not raising taxes aren't going to cut it any more. It's time for a return to real conservative values - you know, small government, less spending and real defense.

Just my .01 (I'm a half-wit, so it's only worth one cent).

Posted by: Falstaff at November 5, 2008 03:08 PM

FDR turned a recession into the Great Depression with 25% unemployment with his policies. Obama has promised to do exactly what FDR did. Obama even has his staff reading books on FDR to prepare for the takeover.

That means we will see skyrocking unemployment in the next four years.

It will be a perfect opportunity to take back the government and save the country in 2012. I think the new Republican Party should be built around Palin as she is a conservative and appeals to Americans as no one has since Reagan.

Posted by: Jake at November 5, 2008 03:21 PM

Oh come on, I wana act whiney for a little bit. It's mildly entertaining to have "Not MY President" as my myspace quote.

Posted by: dana superstar at November 5, 2008 03:25 PM

Karol -

I'd really love to vote Republican, but have you seen the Republicans who live in my part of the country? Too much catering to their whims for too long is the reason your party is in a shambles right now. All you got from cavorting with them - and throwing away the message of individual liberty and personal responsibility - was a "conservative" president who increased government spending more than any executive in our history. Bush isn't just an embarrassment to your party, he's an embarrassment to our nation.

As an outsider, it seems to me that it's not really about the presidency for the GOP right now. It's about changing the demeanor of the party from the ground up. Get more Republicans like Rep. Jeff Flake in office, and we can start talking about moving my support from third-party to Republican. Keep relying on the southern church crowd for your baseline support, and you've got no chance of getting people like me on board.

Posted by: Jason at November 5, 2008 03:50 PM

"That's our beautiful democracy in action."

But we're not a democracy

Posted by: guest at November 5, 2008 05:19 PM

We're not a pure Democracy but we are a democracy.

Posted by: Karol at November 5, 2008 05:24 PM

K-

Let me help you out with some of your analysis that may be slightly off.

New Jersey: Republicans can win NJ--especially McCain. He only lost the 15 electoral votes by 500,000. He didn't dump a dime in a state that had and has great fundraising potential. Also, the main centers for Dems are Camden and Newark/Hudson county. Those areas do not have the required infrastructure for Dems to pull out their vote, like Philly. BTW, Bush did take NJ in '88.

Penn: Of course we can take Pennsylvania but I agree that McCain poured money in late. The reason it was Penn and not Michigan was because he had a better chance to take the swing voters. Also, Penn had a few more votes, 21, than Michigan. It may not seem like a big difference but if you look at the electoral math it would be needed to add up to 270.

Why Penn and not NJ? Because of Lautenberg--the senate race would have worked to hurt McCain's chances.

As far as the west anaylsis I agree with you, I'm sure that comes as a great relief to you. :-)

Virginia: If you spend time in the DC area you know why Viriginia is in play for the Dems. The overflow of caffe latte liberals from the DC metro area. Virigina was hard fought by McCain this year. Everyone can agree that McCain set up his bunker and fought to the end in that state.

Posted by: UknowWho at November 5, 2008 05:47 PM

I think McCain got beat for four reasons:

1.) The Republican brand was irreparably damaged by the current White House occupant and drunken sailorism of the D.C. GOP from 2000-2006.

2.) McCain thought he could thumb the base in the eye from 2000-2007, show up with some flowers, and *poof* he'd have the same ground game as Dubya did in 2000 and 2004. Um, no.

3.) Obama is a smooth operator and gifted orator. Acknowledging that doesn't mean I think he's going to be a good President. However, not acknowledging that the guy has the gift of the golden tongue means that the GOP will be waking up alone, naked, thoroughly ravished, and upset next election too. ("I thought he said I was special..." *sob*)

4.) Lastly, and most importantly, there was too much focus on "the press hates me!" or "you're being unfair!" by the McCain campaign. (Crazy analogy to follow.) Look, McCain had two choices in February when it was apparent that the press was going to do everything but take a TOW to the Straight Talk Express for Obama:

Option A: Sound like the spurned, bitter, ex-wife who got dumped for a younger model or...

Option B: Take the bast*rd (in this case, the press) to divorce court (the people), rip his nuts off (win the election), and then nail the bloody package to the front door of what used to be "our" but is now "your" house (ruthlessly mock press, pundits, etc. even as you kick their papers off Air Force One for the duration of your term).

B+: If he wanted to put a little shine on it, he could have even called the strumpet in Chief (Katie Couric) and tell her where she could get the cojones in question (allow Katie to give the first exclusive interview...in the Oval Office...with the Presidential Seal prominently visible without).

McCain chose to sound like a bitter old hag--and that's why he's living in some roach infested apartment (going back to the Senate) with no spousal maintenance, all the old furniture, and the snotty nosed kids instead of in aforementioned residence (the White House) with a hefty 4-figure child support check. Er, not that I'm related to an expert divorce attorney or anything.

Bottom line: The Republicans need to hire a fighter for the next dance. Not a pseudo fighter who says, "My friends..." and tries to make nice, but the kind of fighter that makes the other side find the nearest available exit rather than start the dance of sorrow (Merc 2 shout out) mix tape. The type of person who not only believes in conservative values, but can espouse them in a coherent manner and is not afraid of being called a racist, sexist, whatever -ist when they do so. Indeed, who revels in being called these things as it's a clear indicator that he's found a pressure point, and it's time for ye olde nerve junction to be pressed until someone says uncle or simply chokes to death on their own spittle because they can no longer make their throat muscles function. Who, as they drop their rhetorical victim, is gracious as they know they've totally won.

Now, I'm not sure the GOP has that sort of person in their ranks. I think a Tom Coburn run would be interesting...but I don't know how that would play in a lot of states. Maybe after 4 years of Hope, Change, and Redistribution the nation would be ready.

Posted by: James at November 5, 2008 09:07 PM

P.S. Virginia was in play about as much as the Cowboys have a chance of winning the Super Bowl. Much like the much despised Starboys, the GOP had no ground game in Virginia. On the other hand, I know of at least 3 very rabid Obama supporters who spent all of yesterday driving people to the polls, staying in touch with folks they had registered, etc., etc.--and they were far from alone.

Taking a page from the Moonbats playbook and insulting people as "latte liberals" is sure to backfire. Is there spillover? Yeah. On the other hand, there are A LOT of Virginians who voted for the Big O simply because he wasn't a Republican and they felt the party had lost its way. Maybe figuring out a message to reach those folks may pay dividends...

Posted by: James at November 5, 2008 09:12 PM

"the GOP had no ground game in Virginia"--
that's where McCains HQ was located, it was his main base of ops. anyone who checked in at any minute of the day saw a full house. lawyers for McCain hit that state extra hard and I mean really hard.

Posted by: at November 5, 2008 11:26 PM

Karol, dreat post. Many others too. There's a line in the film "Mean girls", which says something like 'pointing out how ugly she was wasn't going to make me any smarter or prettier'
It strikes me that there are people who are aghast that republicanism has lost brand loyalty.

Also, 3 months ago Iraq was the biggest priority of the polled electorate, and 3 weeks ago it was the economy. The campaign seemed to lack the manoevreability to cope with this.
I contend that, with the base behind him (which it wasn't) McCain could have won the rest over, but instead of being the measured guy who delivered that concession speech, he just seemed an angry old man.

Posted by: bryan at November 6, 2008 02:02 AM

You're whistling past the graveyard. The left will use the next for years to open the borders even more, silence the opposition, and increase their base of francised felons, "students", and union thugs. Between gerrymandering and changes in election laws, they will guarantee one party rule forever.
THAT'S your change!

Posted by: Paul Moore at November 6, 2008 06:53 AM

How do you propose "selling it" to the masses when every inch of imagery from TV to print and movies is impregnated with Godless socialism with its envy of the producers and titilation of the sexual hedonists and deviants who murder their inconvenient mistakes as punishment?

In short - how do you propose even geting the proverbial sales -"foot in the door?"

Posted by: Don L at November 6, 2008 07:18 AM

Full disclosure: Almost my entire maternal side of the family lives in Virginia along with several good friends in the area. As I said, 3 of them are rabid Obama supporters. Several were apathetic. 2 of them are, shall we say, somewhere to the right of our hostess.

All of them either participated in or reported massive Obama activity. The 2 who most definitely did _not_ vote for Obama did so with great disgust while asking, "Where are McCain's folks?!"

Now, just because a HQ is bustling doesn't mean that there's actually anything going on in the sharp end. Heck, McCain claimed to have a good ground game in Missouri--let me tell you, he won the state simply because the base turned out to stop Obama, not due to his efforts.

Admittedly I have a narrow window (in VA much more than MO--I'm a native of the latter and right next door), but I'm saying from _my_ observations and compared to what I was hearing about Bush in 2000 and 2004 McCain had very little ground game in either state.

If someone who actually lived in Virginia observed differently, I stand corrected. But I'm not sure I'm going to go with HQ (these folks are paid to look busy and, hey, it's not like McCain hadn't fired people before) as evidence of effective energy.

Posted by: James at November 6, 2008 07:19 AM

Agreed with all but the respect Barry stuff...nope ain't gonna do it. I got my rights to fuss for 4 years (I hope it's only 4) and I'm ascertin'em. As an adopted Virginian I can tell you why we lost VA and probably won't get it back. Northern VA is where all the beltway people live and work and vote...more government, more libs in northern VA. Less military...less conservatives or military supporters to vote in southern VA. Better to concentrate on other states.

Posted by: Terri at November 6, 2008 08:57 AM

In short - how do you propose even geting the proverbial sales -"foot in the door?"

I'm a little election-ed out but I'm going to try to write another post in the next few days that the conservative movement's philosophy should always be: What Would Reagan Do?

When Reagan lost to Ford in 1976 and Ford went on to lose to lightweight Carter (which is SOOOOOO reminiscent of this election), what did Reagan do? Stay tuned to find out.

Posted by: Karol at November 6, 2008 10:18 AM

First of all, conservatives DID NOT select McCain. It was "moderates" and other cross-over liberals who made a concerted effort in the initial open primaries and caucuses (caucii?). If we want to keep that from happening again, Republicans need to end this practice and allow only registered Republicans to vote in the primaries. Just because someone is too "independent" to choose a party doesn't mean they get to make me dependent on their choice for my party!

Posted by: FormerHostage at November 6, 2008 11:36 AM

We're not a pure Democracy but we are a democracy.

Correct in the sense of what the country has degenerated into, but not what the country was set up to be. The Constitution established us as a republic, under which government cannot tread upon individual rights -- no matter how overwhelming a majority vote can be. In a democracy, majority rule goes.

Posted by: Perry Eidelbus at November 6, 2008 01:08 PM

Don, interesting point. A lot of faith in the USA, but many disagreable agendas pushed by TV. Personally, I watched "Bratz" once with my neices, and realised it was just a show to make kids want to shop for crap their parents couldn't afford. I'm sure you have many others.

Posted by: bryan at November 6, 2008 02:07 PM

Hi Karol... long time, no read.
Something else to think about... Obama only got 52%. This was not a mandate. Nor was it a landslide like some of the moronic media types are saying. They (libs, dems & whoever is pulling the strings for the puppet, Obama) only won a "controlling interest." McMaveric McCain turned off a lot of conservative voters who would have normally voted for a Republican candidate. I know many such conservatives. They either stayed home or voted for an independent.

Posted by: ChrisS at November 7, 2008 02:05 AM

OK, I realize it's a generalization, but I truly don't like you calling liberals "dumb" or "animals" or "retards." I am a liberal, at least I guess I would be as you qualify the term "liberal." I'm pretty sure you wouldn't consider me an animal or a retard or dumb if you met me. I'm pretty positive I wouldn't think that of you from what I've heard, but your writing says otherwise.

It's three days since I read this and it still bothers me. I've tried to re-read this, because I think you have some valid comments here and I'd like to consider it, but your name-calling makes it impossible for me to hear your words on a rational level. I'm open to what you have to say, but I can't be while you're calling me and my friends names. Does that make sense?

If not, oh well - I gave it a shot.

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